Top Ten Predictions From Future Horizons

Thanks to Mike Bryant, CTO of Future Horizons, for this one – ten predictions for the next 13 years.


2013 Albany begins operating 450mm R&D lines


2014 Hynix/HP and Samsung/Imec launch memristors


2015 ASML ship first volume production 450mm machines with 450mm tables


2016 First LED 200mm production cuts costs and moves LED into mainstream lighting


2017 TSMC starts pilot production of 15nm Finfets on 450mm


2018 First large-scale prototype graphene transistor based ICs appear


2019 Intel move to mass production on 8nm


2020 Graphene ICs enter pilot production


2021-5    Implantable mobile phones



3D projection displays possibly using graphene emitters




Tags: mass production, samsung, transistor, volume production

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  1. Mike Bryant
    February 23, 2012 08:55

    Because the breakthrough has happened. As I said look out for papers in upcoming conferences.

  2. graphenehype
    February 23, 2012 06:13

    Mike, I would not be so sure about that. What makes you think there will be a breakthrough anytime soon?

  3. Mike Bryant
    February 22, 2012 20:15

    Coming soon to a technical conference near you – depending on where you live of course.

  4. graphenehype
    February 22, 2012 18:08

    First large scale graphene device in 6 years? I’d suggest people need to figure out first how to turn these devices off. Linear modulation is nice and all, but you really want the subthreshold slope.

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