Asian mobile data revenue growing 20%+ CAGR
Asian telecoms services revenues will grow by $94bn between 2011 and 3016, says AnalysisMason, with mobile handset data revenue expected to grow at a CAGR of 20%+.
Telecoms retail revenue in Asia is predicted to grow at a CAGR of 7% between 2011 and 2016.
Total telecoms service revenue will grow by 29% from $229.7bn in 2011 to $323.7bn by 2016.
3G and 4G services, which will account for 46% of mobile connections in the region by 2016.
In China, overall telecoms revenue will grow from $138bn in 2011 to $194bn in 2016.
Analysys Mason predicts that active mobile penetration rates in the region will rise to 95% by 2016, a 32% increase on 2011 levels. The number of active SIMs will increase from 2.33bn in 2011 to 3.7bn by 2016.
The Asian voice market will continue to be heavily dominated by mobile during the forecast period, with 90% of the voice connections being mobile by 2016, up from 84% in 2011 and from 73% in 2008.
Overall, the number of voice connections in the region will increase by 45%, to 3.9bn connections, with most of this growth coming from China and India.
As in other regions, mobile ARPU in Asian markets has declined significantly in recent years, from a regional average of $10 per month in 2008 to $7.40 in 2011 (although this varies significantly from country to country).
The decline is a consequence of decreasing tariffs across the region, the extension of services to lower-income users who spend less on telecoms than established subscribers, and the increasing numbers of subscribers who have more than one SIM.