PC sales to fall 10% this year

PC sales will fall 10% this year, says IDC, and by nearly 4% next year.

This year the commercial PC market is falling 5% and the consumer PC market is falling 15%.

“Perhaps the chief concern for future PC demand is a lack of reasons to replace an older system,” says IDC’s Jay Chou, “while IDC research finds that the PC still remains the primary computing device – for example, PCs are used more hours per day than tablets or phones – PC usage is nonetheless declining each year as more devices become available. And despite industry efforts, PC usage has not moved significantly beyond consumption and productivity tasks to differentiate PCs from other devices. As a result, PC lifespans continue to increase, thereby limiting market growth.”

2-in-1 devices – many of which will run Windows – along with Windows-based tablets are expected to provide some new volume for Windows.

The Windows-based tablet market is expected to grow to 39.3 million units in 2017 from less than 7.5 million in 2013 and less than 1 million in 2011.

However, relative to a PC market size of roughly 300 million units, these Windows tablets would add just a couple percent a year relative to PC growth.

Windows devices are projected to account for 10% of a combined PC & Windows Tablet market by 2016.

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